State of the Races

Let's look at where each MLB team stands in the hunt for October.

There are 50 or so days left in the baseball season, and so let’s take stock and quickly look at the state of the races… with FanGraphs playoff percentages! But first…

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American League East

New York Yankees (68-48)
Playoff percentage: 99.5% (win World Series: 14.8%)

I keep squinting to figure out how the Yankees—basically a two-man offense—can be leading the league in runs and can be 1½ games behind Philadelphia for the best record in baseball. But maybe it doesn’t require squinting: Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been THAT good. I’m coming around to the idea that we just don’t talk enough about how good Aaron Judge is, in particular. His on-pace numbers right now: